Análisis Noruega vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
21.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.61
Goles esperados
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Noruega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 1983 |
DEN
2 - 2
NOR
79%
13%
8%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 1982 |
KWT
1 - 0
NOR
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1982 |
BGR
2 - 2
NOR
77%
15%
9%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1982 |
NOR
3 - 1
YUG
20%
25%
56%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | +2 |
| 22 sep. 1982 |
WAL
1 - 0
NOR
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 may. 1983 |
POL
1 - 1
SUN
46%
26%
28%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 may. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 4
POL
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 1983 |
POL
1 - 1
FIN
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 1983 |
POL
3 - 1
BGR
79%
15%
6%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1983 |
COL
1 - 0
POL
18%
25%
57%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |