Análisis Noruega vs Sudáfrica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.8%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Noruega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 sep. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 1
MKD
72%
19%
9%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2009 |
ISL
1 - 1
NOR
23%
26%
51%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2009 |
NOR
4 - 0
SCO
53%
26%
22%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 2009 |
NED
2 - 0
NOR
70%
19%
10%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 jun. 2009 |
MKD
0 - 0
NOR
21%
25%
54%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Sudáfrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 2009 |
RSA
1 - 0
MAD
80%
15%
5%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2009 |
IRL
1 - 0
RSA
66%
22%
12%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2009 |
GER
2 - 0
RSA
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 97 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2009 |
RSA
1 - 3
SRB
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 2
RSA
92%
7%
1%
|
84 | 99 | 15 | 0 |