Análisis Nueva Caledonia vs Samoa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
81.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.56
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.2%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.53
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nueva Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 may. 2016 |
PNG
1 - 1
NCL
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2016 |
VAN
2 - 1
NCL
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 mar. 2013 |
NCL
1 - 0
TAH
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2013 |
NZL
2 - 1
NCL
77%
16%
8%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2012 |
NCL
5 - 0
SOL
62%
20%
17%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 may. 2016 |
TAH
4 - 0
SAM
75%
17%
8%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2015 |
TON
0 - 3
SAM
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 sep. 2015 |
COK
1 - 0
SAM
46%
24%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 ago. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 2
ASA
86%
11%
3%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 jun. 2012 |
NCL
9 - 0
SAM
84%
12%
5%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |