Análisis Nueva Caledonia vs Polinesia francesa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nueva Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 2008 |
NZL
3 - 0
NCL
88%
10%
3%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2008 |
NCL
1 - 3
NZL
6%
14%
80%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 jun. 2008 |
NCL
3 - 0
VAN
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 jun. 2008 |
VAN
1 - 1
NCL
28%
24%
49%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2007 |
NCL
4 - 0
FIJ
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +3 |
Partidos
Polinesia francesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 2008 |
NZL
1 - 0
TAH
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2007 |
COK
0 - 1
TAH
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 sep. 2007 |
TAH
0 - 4
FIJ
19%
23%
59%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 ago. 2007 |
TUV
1 - 1
TAH
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 ago. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 0
TAH
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |