Análisis Nueva Zelanda vs Sudáfrica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.93
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16%
20%
Empate
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
46.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.26
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
2%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nueva Zelanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 jun. 1947 |
NZL
5 - 6
RSA
35%
20%
45%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 jul. 1936 |
NZL
1 - 4
AUS
42%
22%
37%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 jul. 1936 |
NZL
0 - 10
AUS
44%
22%
34%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 jul. 1936 |
NZL
1 - 7
AUS
47%
22%
32%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 jun. 1933 |
AUS
4 - 2
NZL
67%
17%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Sudáfrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 jun. 1947 |
NZL
5 - 6
RSA
35%
20%
45%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 1947 |
AUS
1 - 2
RSA
61%
17%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 1947 |
AUS
5 - 1
RSA
58%
18%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 may. 1947 |
AUS
3 - 3
RSA
58%
18%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 may. 1947 |
AUS
2 - 4
RSA
61%
18%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |