Análisis Nueva Zelanda vs Sudáfrica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
29.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
14.6%
19.2%
Empate
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.2%
51.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.44
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
5.7%
3-4
2.1%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
15%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nueva Zelanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 jul. 1947 |
NZL
3 - 8
RSA
32%
20%
49%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 jul. 1947 |
NZL
0 - 6
RSA
34%
20%
46%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 jun. 1947 |
NZL
5 - 6
RSA
35%
20%
45%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 jul. 1936 |
NZL
1 - 4
AUS
42%
22%
37%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 jul. 1936 |
NZL
0 - 10
AUS
44%
22%
34%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
Sudáfrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 jul. 1947 |
NZL
3 - 8
RSA
32%
20%
49%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 jul. 1947 |
NZL
0 - 6
RSA
34%
20%
46%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 1947 |
NZL
5 - 6
RSA
35%
20%
45%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 jun. 1947 |
AUS
1 - 2
RSA
61%
17%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 1947 |
AUS
5 - 1
RSA
58%
18%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |