Copa América Jor. 1

Análisis Paraguay vs Chile

Paraguay Chile
70 ELO 56
2.5% Tilt 0.2%
14081º Ranking ELO general 127º
19º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
71.9%
Paraguay
15.9%
Empate
12.1%
Chile

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
71.9%
Probabilidad gana
Paraguay
2.61
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.9%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.1%
Probabilidad gana
Chile
1
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Paraguay
+2%
-2%
Chile

Progresión del ELO

Paraguay
Chile
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Paraguay
Paraguay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 oct. 1924
URU
Uruguay
3 - 1
Paraguay
PAR
71%
17%
13%
70 82 12 0
12 oct. 1924
ARG
Argentina
0 - 0
Paraguay
PAR
63%
20%
18%
69 80 11 +1
22 nov. 1923
BRA
Brasil
2 - 0
Paraguay
PAR
65%
18%
17%
70 76 6 -1
11 nov. 1923
BRA
Brasil
0 - 1
Paraguay
PAR
65%
18%
17%
69 77 8 +1
04 nov. 1923
URU
Uruguay
2 - 0
Paraguay
PAR
66%
18%
16%
70 79 9 -1

Partidos

Chile
Chile
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 oct. 1924
ARG
Argentina
2 - 0
Chile
CHI
73%
16%
11%
57 80 23 0
19 oct. 1924
URU
Uruguay
5 - 0
Chile
CHI
79%
13%
8%
58 82 24 -1
12 oct. 1924
CHI
Chile
0 - 1
Uruguay
URU
24%
22%
54%
58 81 23 0
03 dic. 1923
ARG
Argentina
6 - 0
Chile
CHI
72%
17%
12%
59 79 20 -1
25 nov. 1923
URU
Uruguay
2 - 1
Chile
CHI
78%
13%
8%
59 80 21 0