Copa América Jor. 1

Análisis Paraguay vs Ecuador

Paraguay Ecuador
70 ELO 63
-4.1% Tilt -3.7%
222º Ranking ELO general 79º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
60%
Paraguay
19.3%
Empate
20.8%
Ecuador

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
60%
Probabilidad gana
Paraguay
2.34
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.3%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
20.8%
Probabilidad gana
Ecuador
1.33
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Paraguay
-3%
+4%
Ecuador

Progresión del ELO

Paraguay
Ecuador
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Paraguay
Paraguay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 feb. 1939
URY
Uruguay
3 - 1
Paraguay
PRY
69%
17%
14%
70 81 11 0
29 ene. 1939
PER
Perú
3 - 0
Paraguay
PRY
63%
19%
19%
70 75 5 0
15 ene. 1939
PRY
Paraguay
5 - 1
Chile
CHL
61%
19%
20%
70 65 5 0
24 ene. 1937
PRY
Paraguay
0 - 1
Perú
PER
56%
21%
24%
70 69 1 0
17 ene. 1937
PRY
Paraguay
3 - 2
Chile
CHL
61%
19%
20%
69 65 4 +1

Partidos

Ecuador
Ecuador
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 feb. 1939
CHL
Chile
4 - 1
Ecuador
ECU
52%
21%
27%
66 62 4 0
22 ene. 1939
URY
Uruguay
6 - 0
Ecuador
ECU
70%
16%
14%
67 80 13 -1
15 ene. 1939
PER
Perú
5 - 2
Ecuador
ECU
63%
18%
19%
68 73 5 -1
22 ago. 1938
BOL
Bolivia
2 - 1
Ecuador
ECU
51%
21%
28%
68 63 5 0
19 ago. 1938
ECU
Ecuador
2 - 5
Venezuela
VEN
65%
18%
17%
69 66 3 -1
X