Análisis Paraguay vs Ecuador
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 2003 |
PAR
4 - 1
URU
43%
26%
32%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2003 |
PER
4 - 1
PAR
37%
27%
36%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2003 |
PAN
1 - 2
PAR
19%
27%
55%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 jul. 2003 |
JAM
2 - 0
PAR
24%
27%
49%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 jul. 2003 |
USA
2 - 0
PAR
50%
26%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 2003 |
BRA
1 - 0
ECU
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 0
VEN
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 0
GTM
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
58%
24%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
64%
23%
14%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |