Análisis Paraguay vs Ecuador
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
50.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.47
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
23%
Probabilidad gana
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2011 |
PRY
1 - 1
URY
33%
26%
41%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2011 |
PER
2 - 0
PRY
36%
28%
36%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 sep. 2011 |
HND
0 - 3
PRY
37%
28%
35%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 sep. 2011 |
HND
0 - 3
PRY
38%
28%
35%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2011 |
PAN
0 - 2
PRY
27%
28%
45%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2011 |
USA
0 - 1
ECU
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2011 |
ECU
2 - 0
VEN
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2011 |
ECU
4 - 0
CRI
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2011 |
ECU
5 - 2
JAM
67%
21%
13%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 ago. 2011 |
CRI
0 - 2
ECU
45%
27%
29%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |