Análisis Perú vs Chile
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.54
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.8%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
18%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.3
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Perú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 1949 |
PER
3 - 0
BOL
76%
14%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1949 |
BRA
7 - 1
PER
75%
14%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1949 |
PER
4 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 1
PER
55%
20%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 abr. 1949 |
PER
4 - 0
COL
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 1949 |
PAR
4 - 2
CHI
64%
18%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1949 |
CHI
1 - 1
COL
67%
17%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 1949 |
CHI
1 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1949 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
78%
13%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 2
CHI
36%
22%
42%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |