Análisis Perú vs Ecuador
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.21
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.2%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
7.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Perú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 1
PER
55%
20%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1949 |
PER
4 - 0
COL
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 dic. 1947 |
BOL
0 - 2
PER
32%
22%
45%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1947 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 dic. 1947 |
PER
5 - 1
COL
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 abr. 1949 |
CHI
1 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1949 |
URU
3 - 2
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1949 |
PAR
1 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 1949 |
BRA
9 - 1
ECU
87%
8%
5%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | -1 |
| 29 dic. 1947 |
PAR
4 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |