Análisis Perú vs URSS
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.2
Goles esperados
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Perú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 1970 |
PER
2 - 0
ROU
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 1969 |
ARG
2 - 2
PER
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 1969 |
PER
3 - 0
BOL
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 ago. 1969 |
BOL
2 - 1
PER
40%
22%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 ago. 1969 |
PER
1 - 0
ARG
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 1969 |
TUR
1 - 3
SUN
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1969 |
SUN
2 - 0
NIR
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1969 |
SUN
3 - 0
TUR
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 sep. 1969 |
YUG
1 - 3
SUN
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1969 |
NIR
0 - 0
SUN
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |