Análisis Perú vs Uruguay
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.06
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
34%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Perú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 1949 |
PER
3 - 0
CHI
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1949 |
PER
3 - 0
BOL
76%
14%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1949 |
BRA
7 - 1
PER
75%
14%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1949 |
PER
4 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 1
PER
55%
20%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 1949 |
BRA
5 - 1
URU
65%
17%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1949 |
URU
2 - 2
COL
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1949 |
URU
2 - 1
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 2
URU
25%
20%
55%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1949 |
URU
3 - 2
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |