Análisis Perú vs Venezuela
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
47.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.5
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27%
Probabilidad gana
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Perú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ago. 2012 |
CRI
0 - 1
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 2012 |
URY
4 - 2
PER
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 2012 |
PER
0 - 1
COL
31%
29%
40%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 may. 2012 |
PER
1 - 0
NGA
47%
27%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 abr. 2012 |
PER
0 - 3
CHL
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ago. 2012 |
JPN
1 - 1
VEN
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 2012 |
VEN
0 - 2
CHL
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 2012 |
URY
1 - 1
VEN
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 may. 2012 |
VEN
4 - 0
MDA
72%
18%
11%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 2012 |
ESP
5 - 0
VEN
86%
11%
3%
|
86 | 100 | 14 | -1 |