Análisis Perú vs Venezuela
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Perú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 0
PER
25%
26%
48%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2023 |
PER
0 - 2
ARG
12%
22%
66%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 oct. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 0
PER
50%
25%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
BRA
8%
17%
76%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 0
PER
35%
27%
37%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 2023 |
VEN
0 - 0
ECU
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2023 |
VEN
3 - 0
CHI
39%
26%
36%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
VEN
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 0
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 sep. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
VEN
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | -1 |