Análisis Polonia vs Corea del Norte
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
86.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.57
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
8.7%
Empate
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
4.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 jul. 1976 |
POL
3 - 2
IRN
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 jul. 1976 |
POL
0 - 0
CUB
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 may. 1976 |
POL
0 - 2
IRL
79%
14%
6%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 may. 1976 |
SUI
2 - 1
POL
30%
27%
44%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 may. 1976 |
GRC
1 - 0
POL
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Corea del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 jul. 1976 |
SUN
3 - 0
PRK
82%
11%
7%
|
53 | 89 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 jul. 1976 |
CAN
1 - 3
PRK
82%
11%
7%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 may. 1976 |
BGR
3 - 0
PRK
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 1974 |
MAS
2 - 1
PRK
78%
13%
9%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 sep. 1974 |
PRK
2 - 2
MMR
36%
23%
41%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | +1 |