Análisis Polonia vs Libia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.95
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.1%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.52
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 1979 |
POL
2 - 0
NED
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 1979 |
DDR
2 - 1
POL
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1979 |
POL
1 - 1
HUN
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 1979 |
ALG
0 - 1
POL
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 1979 |
TUN
0 - 2
POL
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Libia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 jul. 1978 |
ALG
2 - 1
LBY
63%
19%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 jul. 1978 |
MWI
1 - 2
LBY
51%
22%
27%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 may. 1978 |
LBY
1 - 0
MLT
56%
20%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 ene. 1978 |
TUN
2 - 1
LBY
76%
15%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 1978 |
LBY
0 - 0
TUN
37%
24%
39%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |