Análisis Polonia vs España
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
38%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 jun. 1959 |
POL
7 - 2
ISR
48%
20%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 may. 1959 |
GER
1 - 1
POL
84%
10%
6%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 oct. 1958 |
IRL
2 - 2
POL
67%
16%
17%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1958 |
POL
1 - 3
HUN
10%
15%
76%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 jun. 1958 |
DDR
1 - 1
POL
21%
22%
57%
|
65 | 19 | 46 | 0 |
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 1959 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1958 |
ESP
6 - 2
NIR
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1958 |
ESP
1 - 0
POR
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1958 |
GER
2 - 0
ESP
65%
18%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 1958 |
FRA
2 - 2
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |