Análisis Polonia vs Estados Unidos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2004 |
POL
6 - 0
FRO
91%
8%
2%
|
91 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2004 |
POL
2 - 0
SVN
66%
21%
13%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2003 |
POL
3 - 1
LTU
74%
18%
8%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2003 |
MLT
0 - 4
POL
15%
22%
63%
|
91 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2003 |
POL
4 - 3
SCG
82%
13%
5%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
Partidos
Estados Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 mar. 2004 |
USA
1 - 1
HTI
73%
18%
9%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2004 |
NED
1 - 0
USA
73%
18%
10%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2004 |
USA
1 - 1
DEN
37%
27%
36%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2003 |
USA
3 - 2
CRC
62%
21%
17%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 jul. 2003 |
USA
1 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
74%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | -1 |