Análisis Polonia vs Lituania
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.13
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
17.6%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.56
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 2003 |
MLT
0 - 4
POL
15%
22%
63%
|
91 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2003 |
POL
4 - 3
SCG
82%
13%
5%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 nov. 2003 |
POL
3 - 1
ITA
24%
29%
48%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2003 |
HUN
1 - 2
POL
38%
25%
37%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2003 |
POL
0 - 2
SWE
33%
28%
40%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Lituania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2003 |
SCO
1 - 0
LTU
71%
20%
10%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2003 |
FRO
1 - 3
LTU
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2003 |
BGR
3 - 0
LTU
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 jul. 2003 |
LVA
2 - 1
LTU
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 jul. 2003 |
EST
1 - 5
LTU
48%
25%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |