Análisis Polonia vs Lituania
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.35
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14.6%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
5.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.47
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 mar. 2006 |
KSA
1 - 2
POL
27%
26%
47%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2006 |
POL
0 - 1
USA
47%
27%
27%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 nov. 2005 |
POL
3 - 1
EST
79%
15%
6%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 2005 |
POL
3 - 0
ECU
62%
23%
15%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 oct. 2005 |
ENG
2 - 1
POL
65%
21%
14%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Lituania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 mar. 2006 |
ALB
1 - 2
LTU
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2005 |
LTU
1 - 1
BEL
14%
23%
63%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2005 |
LTU
0 - 2
SCG
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2005 |
LTU
0 - 1
BIH
41%
25%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 sep. 2005 |
SCG
2 - 0
LTU
75%
16%
10%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |