Análisis Polonia vs Noruega
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.35
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
27.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.67
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 1938 |
POL
4 - 4
YUG
70%
16%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1938 |
LVA
2 - 1
POL
44%
22%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 1938 |
GER
4 - 1
POL
71%
15%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 jun. 1938 |
BRA
6 - 5
POL
58%
19%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 may. 1938 |
POL
6 - 0
IRL
62%
18%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Noruega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 oct. 1938 |
SWE
2 - 3
NOR
69%
15%
16%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 1938 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEN
59%
19%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1938 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
54%
20%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 jun. 1938 |
NOR
9 - 0
FIN
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 jun. 1938 |
ITA
2 - 1
NOR
74%
14%
12%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |