Análisis Polonia vs Noruega
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.19
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.57
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 1987 |
POL
3 - 1
FIN
85%
11%
5%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 1986 |
NED
0 - 0
POL
60%
23%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 1986 |
POL
1 - 0
IRL
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1986 |
POL
2 - 1
GRC
74%
18%
9%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 1986 |
POL
2 - 2
PRK
99%
1%
0%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
Partidos
Noruega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 oct. 1986 |
SUN
4 - 0
NOR
80%
15%
5%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1986 |
NOR
0 - 0
DDR
32%
29%
40%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 1986 |
NOR
0 - 0
HUN
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 1986 |
NOR
2 - 2
ROU
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 1986 |
ROU
3 - 1
NOR
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |