Análisis Polonia vs Portugal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
65.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14%
Probabilidad gana
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 sep. 1977 |
POL
4 - 1
DEN
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1977 |
SUN
4 - 1
POL
57%
24%
20%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 1977 |
AUT
2 - 1
POL
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 1977 |
BRA
3 - 1
POL
70%
20%
11%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 jun. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 2
POL
18%
22%
60%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Partidos
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 1977 |
DEN
2 - 4
POR
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 1977 |
POR
1 - 0
SUI
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 1976 |
POR
2 - 1
ITA
29%
28%
42%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 1976 |
CYP
1 - 2
POR
18%
22%
60%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 1976 |
POR
1 - 0
DEN
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |