Repesca Mundial Final
Global 2-0
Análisis Portugal vs Bosnia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
90.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.96
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
12.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
17%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.8%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
17.1%
7.9%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.9%
1.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.27
Goles esperados
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2009 |
POR
4 - 0
MLT
82%
13%
5%
|
96 | 53 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2009 |
POR
3 - 0
HUN
73%
18%
9%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2009 |
HUN
0 - 1
POR
22%
26%
52%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2009 |
DEN
1 - 1
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 3
POR
13%
23%
65%
|
96 | 24 | 72 | 0 |
Partidos
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2009 |
BIH
2 - 5
ESP
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 100 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2009 |
EST
0 - 2
BIH
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2009 |
BIH
1 - 1
TUR
28%
27%
46%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 sep. 2009 |
ARM
0 - 2
BIH
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2009 |
BIH
2 - 3
IRN
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |