Análisis Portugal vs España
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
35.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 1950 |
ESP
5 - 1
POR
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 may. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 0
POR
49%
20%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 may. 1949 |
POR
3 - 2
WAL
55%
19%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 1949 |
POR
1 - 1
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 1949 |
ITA
4 - 1
POR
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 1950 |
ESP
5 - 1
POR
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 1949 |
FRA
1 - 5
ESP
47%
22%
31%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 4
ESP
42%
22%
36%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 mar. 1949 |
ESP
1 - 3
ITA
48%
22%
30%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 1949 |
POR
1 - 1
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |