Análisis Portugal vs España
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22.3%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
44.7%
Win probability
1.86
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 jun. 2025 |
GER
1 - 2
POR
58%
21%
22%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2025 |
POR
5 - 2
DEN
65%
19%
16%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2025 |
DEN
1 - 0
POR
34%
25%
41%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 1
POR
29%
24%
47%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2024 |
POR
5 - 1
POL
70%
17%
13%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 jun. 2025 |
ESP
5 - 4
FRA
61%
21%
18%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2025 |
ESP
3 - 3
NED
63%
19%
18%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2025 |
NED
2 - 2
ESP
37%
23%
39%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 2
SUI
78%
14%
8%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2024 |
DEN
1 - 2
ESP
22%
23%
55%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | +1 |