Análisis RD Alemania vs Islandia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
84.1%
Probabilidad gana
2.7
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
11.5%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.47
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
RD Alemania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 1974 |
DDR
2 - 0
CAN
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1974 |
CSK
3 - 1
DDR
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1974 |
POL
1 - 3
DDR
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 jul. 1974 |
ARG
1 - 1
DDR
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 jun. 1974 |
DDR
0 - 2
NED
69%
17%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Islandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 1974 |
DEN
2 - 1
ISL
82%
11%
7%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 1974 |
ISL
0 - 2
BEL
22%
22%
57%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 1974 |
ISL
2 - 2
FIN
52%
23%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 1973 |
ISL
1 - 8
NED
21%
21%
58%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 1973 |
NED
5 - 0
ISL
84%
10%
6%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | -1 |