Análisis Sudáfrica vs Madagascar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
79.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.26
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
15.1%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
15.1%
5.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.42
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sudáfrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 sep. 2009 |
IRL
1 - 0
ZAF
66%
22%
12%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2009 |
DEU
2 - 0
ZAF
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2009 |
ZAF
1 - 3
SRB
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 2
ZAF
92%
7%
1%
|
83 | 100 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 jun. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
ZAF
96%
4%
0%
|
83 | 100 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2008 |
CIV
3 - 0
MDG
93%
5%
1%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2008 |
MDG
1 - 0
BWA
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 ago. 2008 |
MDG
0 - 2
ZMB
14%
20%
66%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 jul. 2008 |
MDG
1 - 2
MOZ
23%
23%
55%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 2008 |
MDG
2 - 1
MUS
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |