Análisis Sudáfrica vs Nueva Zelanda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.08
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sudáfrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 jun. 2009 |
RSA
0 - 0
IRQ
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 jun. 2009 |
RSA
1 - 0
POL
20%
25%
54%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
RSA
78%
16%
7%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 2009 |
RSA
2 - 1
NOR
21%
26%
53%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 feb. 2009 |
RSA
0 - 2
CHI
27%
30%
44%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Nueva Zelanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 jun. 2009 |
NZL
0 - 5
ESP
1%
7%
92%
|
71 | 99 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 2009 |
ITA
4 - 3
NZL
76%
17%
6%
|
71 | 98 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 jun. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 0
NZL
26%
25%
48%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 jun. 2009 |
TAN
2 - 1
NZL
32%
26%
43%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2009 |
THA
3 - 1
NZL
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |