Análisis Sudán vs Somalia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.56
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.4%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.57
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sudán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 dic. 2004 |
SDN
2 - 1
UGA
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2004 |
KEN
2 - 2
SDN
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2004 |
SDN
1 - 1
CMR
19%
25%
57%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2004 |
CIV
5 - 0
SDN
78%
16%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 jul. 2004 |
SDN
0 - 1
LBY
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 dic. 2004 |
SOM
0 - 1
KEN
12%
19%
69%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2004 |
UGA
2 - 0
SOM
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2003 |
GHA
2 - 0
SOM
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2003 |
SOM
0 - 5
GHA
12%
20%
69%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | -1 |
| 07 dic. 2002 |
ETH
0 - 1
SOM
82%
13%
5%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | +2 |