Análisis Suecia vs España
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.15
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.6%
13.9%
Empate
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.9%
12.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.33
Goles esperados
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Suecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 jun. 1951 |
SWE
3 - 1
TUR
84%
9%
7%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 1950 |
SUI
4 - 2
SWE
39%
21%
40%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1950 |
SWE
4 - 0
DEN
80%
11%
9%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1950 |
NOR
1 - 3
SWE
39%
21%
40%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1950 |
FIN
0 - 1
SWE
30%
20%
50%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
Partidos
España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 jun. 1951 |
BEL
3 - 3
ESP
46%
21%
33%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 1951 |
ESP
6 - 3
SUI
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 jul. 1950 |
SWE
3 - 1
ESP
72%
15%
14%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 1950 |
BRA
6 - 1
ESP
65%
17%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 jul. 1950 |
URU
2 - 2
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |