Análisis Suecia vs Lituania
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
90.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
4.23
Goles esperados
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
1.4%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.6%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
4.2%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
6%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.4%
6.1%
Empate
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6%
3.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
0.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Suecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 jun. 1939 |
SWE
5 - 1
FIN
87%
8%
5%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 1939 |
SWE
3 - 2
NOR
70%
15%
16%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1938 |
SWE
2 - 3
NOR
69%
15%
16%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1938 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
54%
20%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 1938 |
SWE
2 - 6
CSK
66%
17%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Lituania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 sep. 1938 |
FIN
3 - 1
LTU
83%
10%
7%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1938 |
LTU
1 - 1
LVA
33%
22%
44%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 1938 |
EST
3 - 1
LTU
68%
17%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 jun. 1938 |
LTU
0 - 2
EST
51%
22%
28%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 may. 1938 |
LVA
2 - 0
LTU
75%
14%
11%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |