Análisis Suecia vs Noruega
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
86.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
4.06
Goles esperados
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.6%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
2.1%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
3.2%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
7.8%
Empate
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
7.8%
5.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.09
Goles esperados
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Suecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 jun. 1949 |
SWE
2 - 2
HUN
69%
15%
16%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 1
IRL
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 may. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 1
ENG
58%
18%
25%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 1948 |
AUT
2 - 1
SWE
53%
20%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1948 |
SWE
1 - 0
DEN
80%
11%
9%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Noruega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 1949 |
NOR
0 - 2
DEN
51%
20%
29%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 jul. 1949 |
FIN
1 - 1
NOR
37%
20%
43%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 1949 |
NOR
1 - 3
YUG
60%
18%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 may. 1949 |
NOR
1 - 4
ENG
33%
20%
47%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 dic. 1948 |
EGY
1 - 1
NOR
50%
19%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |