Análisis Suecia vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Suecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 jun. 2003 |
SMR
0 - 6
SWE
8%
20%
71%
|
94 | 47 | 47 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2003 |
SWE
1 - 2
CRO
60%
23%
17%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2003 |
HUN
1 - 2
SWE
32%
27%
42%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2003 |
SWE
4 - 0
PRK
77%
16%
6%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2003 |
THA
1 - 4
SWE
28%
25%
47%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 jun. 2003 |
POL
3 - 0
KAZ
84%
12%
4%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2003 |
BEL
3 - 1
POL
55%
24%
21%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2003 |
POL
5 - 0
SMR
93%
6%
1%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2003 |
POL
0 - 0
HUN
52%
25%
24%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2003 |
MKD
0 - 3
POL
18%
22%
60%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |