Análisis Túnez vs Malawi
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.07
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.7%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.61
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Túnez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 2004 |
MWI
2 - 2
TUN
21%
28%
51%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
55%
26%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 2004 |
TUN
0 - 2
RSA
52%
26%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 jun. 2004 |
GUI
2 - 1
TUN
28%
29%
43%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 jun. 2004 |
TUN
4 - 1
BOT
90%
8%
2%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
Partidos
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 feb. 2005 |
MWI
2 - 1
ZIM
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2004 |
MWI
2 - 2
TUN
21%
28%
51%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2004 |
KEN
3 - 2
MWI
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 jul. 2004 |
MWI
1 - 1
SWZ
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 jul. 2004 |
MWI
1 - 2
SWZ
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |