Análisis URSS vs Bulgaria
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
36.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 1958 |
ENG
5 - 0
SUN
88%
8%
4%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1958 |
SUN
3 - 1
HUN
20%
19%
61%
|
64 | 91 | 27 | +2 |
| 30 ago. 1958 |
CSK
1 - 2
SUN
81%
12%
7%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +2 |
| 19 jun. 1958 |
SWE
2 - 0
SUN
92%
5%
3%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 jun. 1958 |
SUN
1 - 0
ENG
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | +2 |
Partidos
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 may. 1959 |
YUG
2 - 0
BGR
83%
11%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 may. 1959 |
BGR
3 - 2
NED
48%
21%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 dic. 1958 |
GER
3 - 0
BGR
81%
11%
7%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 1958 |
TUR
0 - 0
BGR
55%
19%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 1958 |
CSK
0 - 1
BGR
74%
15%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |