Análisis URSS vs Inglaterra
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.61
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 1986 |
MEX
1 - 0
SUN
31%
29%
40%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1986 |
ESP
2 - 0
SUN
36%
29%
35%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 1985 |
SUN
1 - 0
NOR
85%
11%
3%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1985 |
SUN
2 - 0
IRL
83%
13%
4%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1985 |
SUN
1 - 0
DEN
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Inglaterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 feb. 1986 |
ISR
1 - 2
ENG
21%
28%
51%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 1986 |
EGY
0 - 4
ENG
18%
26%
56%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 1985 |
ENG
0 - 0
NIR
80%
15%
5%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1985 |
ENG
5 - 0
TUR
84%
12%
4%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 1985 |
ENG
1 - 1
ROU
74%
17%
8%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |