Análisis URSS vs Irlanda del Norte
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.53
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.4%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 1969 |
SUN
3 - 0
TUR
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1969 |
YUG
1 - 3
SUN
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1969 |
NIR
0 - 0
SUN
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 ago. 1969 |
SUN
0 - 1
SWE
56%
22%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 jul. 1969 |
DDR
2 - 2
SUN
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Irlanda del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 1969 |
NIR
0 - 0
SUN
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 may. 1969 |
NIR
0 - 0
WAL
63%
19%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 may. 1969 |
SCO
1 - 1
NIR
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 may. 1969 |
NIR
1 - 3
ENG
23%
23%
54%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 dic. 1968 |
TUR
0 - 3
NIR
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |