Análisis URSS vs Noruega
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.32
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
14.6%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
5.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.44
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 1986 |
FRA
0 - 2
SUN
48%
27%
25%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1986 |
ISL
1 - 1
SUN
17%
28%
55%
|
92 | 59 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 1986 |
SWE
0 - 0
SUN
32%
29%
38%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 jun. 1986 |
SUN
3 - 4
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 1986 |
SUN
2 - 0
CAN
84%
11%
5%
|
93 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
Partidos
Noruega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 1986 |
NOR
0 - 0
DDR
32%
29%
40%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 1986 |
NOR
0 - 0
HUN
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 1986 |
NOR
2 - 2
ROU
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 jun. 1986 |
ROU
3 - 1
NOR
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 may. 1986 |
NOR
1 - 0
DEN
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |