Análisis URSS vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
38.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 jun. 1957 |
SUN
1 - 1
ROU
38%
21%
41%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 1956 |
YUG
0 - 1
SUN
95%
4%
2%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | +2 |
| 05 dic. 1956 |
SUN
2 - 1
BGR
35%
23%
42%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 dic. 1956 |
SUN
4 - 0
IDN
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +7 |
| 29 nov. 1956 |
SUN
0 - 0
IDN
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | +3 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 1957 |
POL
0 - 1
TUR
42%
20%
38%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 1956 |
TUR
1 - 1
POL
63%
18%
20%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 1956 |
POL
5 - 0
FIN
80%
12%
8%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 oct. 1956 |
POL
5 - 3
NOR
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 ago. 1956 |
POL
1 - 2
BGR
61%
19%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |