Análisis URSS vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 jul. 1977 |
DDR
2 - 1
SUN
50%
27%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 may. 1977 |
SUN
2 - 0
HUN
43%
26%
31%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 may. 1977 |
GRC
1 - 0
SUN
28%
28%
44%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 1977 |
HUN
2 - 1
SUN
64%
22%
15%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1977 |
SUN
2 - 0
GRC
79%
15%
6%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ago. 1977 |
AUT
2 - 1
POL
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 1977 |
BRA
3 - 1
POL
70%
20%
11%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 2
POL
18%
22%
60%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 1977 |
PER
1 - 3
POL
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 may. 1977 |
ARG
3 - 1
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |