Análisis URSS vs Polonia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 jul. 1983 |
DDR
1 - 3
SUN
46%
27%
27%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 1
SUN
19%
26%
55%
|
92 | 61 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 may. 1983 |
POL
1 - 1
SUN
46%
26%
28%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 may. 1983 |
AUT
2 - 2
SUN
43%
27%
29%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1983 |
SUN
5 - 0
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Polonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 sep. 1983 |
POL
2 - 2
ROU
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 jun. 1983 |
NOR
0 - 1
POL
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 may. 1983 |
POL
1 - 1
SUN
46%
26%
28%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 may. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 4
POL
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 1983 |
POL
1 - 1
FIN
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |