Análisis URSS vs Suecia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 mar. 1979 |
SUN
3 - 1
BGR
76%
17%
7%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 1979 |
USA
1 - 4
SUN
12%
22%
66%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 1979 |
USA
1 - 3
SUN
13%
23%
64%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 1978 |
JPN
0 - 3
SUN
24%
28%
48%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 1978 |
JPN
1 - 4
SUN
24%
28%
48%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
Partidos
Suecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 1978 |
SWE
1 - 3
CSK
51%
26%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 1978 |
FRA
2 - 2
SWE
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 1978 |
DEN
2 - 1
SWE
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 1978 |
SWE
2 - 1
FIN
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 jun. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 0
SWE
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |