Análisis URSS vs Suecia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.99
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
12.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 1987 |
WAL
0 - 0
SUN
26%
29%
45%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 1986 |
SUN
4 - 0
NOR
80%
15%
5%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1986 |
FRA
0 - 2
SUN
48%
27%
25%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 sep. 1986 |
ISL
1 - 1
SUN
17%
28%
55%
|
92 | 59 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 1986 |
SWE
0 - 0
SUN
32%
29%
38%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Suecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 1986 |
MLT
0 - 5
SWE
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 1986 |
POR
1 - 1
SWE
45%
27%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1986 |
SWE
2 - 0
SUI
63%
23%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 sep. 1986 |
SWE
1 - 0
ENG
30%
29%
41%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 1986 |
SWE
0 - 0
SUN
32%
29%
38%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |