Análisis URSS vs Uruguay
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
29.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 may. 1964 |
SWE
1 - 1
SUN
78%
14%
9%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 1
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1963 |
ITA
1 - 1
SUN
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 1963 |
SUN
2 - 0
ITA
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 sep. 1963 |
SUN
1 - 1
HUN
25%
21%
54%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 1964 |
AUT
0 - 2
URU
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 may. 1964 |
ENG
2 - 1
URU
80%
12%
9%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 1964 |
NIR
3 - 0
URU
35%
22%
43%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 abr. 1964 |
MAR
0 - 1
URU
37%
22%
41%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 jul. 1963 |
CHI
0 - 0
URU
45%
22%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |