Análisis Uruguay vs Argentina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.37
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 1914 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
62%
20%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 1914 |
URU
3 - 2
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 oct. 1913 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
50%
22%
28%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 oct. 1913 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
49%
22%
29%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 sep. 1913 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
65%
19%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 1914 |
ARG
0 - 1
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1914 |
ARG
3 - 0
BRA
56%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1914 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
62%
20%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 ago. 1914 |
URU
3 - 2
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 oct. 1913 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |