Análisis Uruguay vs Brasil
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
61.9%
Probabilidad gana
2.25
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 1920 |
ARG
1 - 1
URY
49%
23%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 ago. 1920 |
ARG
1 - 0
URY
50%
23%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 jul. 1920 |
ARG
1 - 3
URY
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 jul. 1920 |
URY
2 - 0
ARG
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 1919 |
URY
4 - 2
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 1920 |
CHL
0 - 1
BRA
34%
24%
42%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 3
ARG
54%
22%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 may. 1919 |
BRA
1 - 0
URY
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 may. 1919 |
URY
2 - 2
BRA
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 may. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |