Análisis Uruguay vs Brasil
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.65
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 dic. 1947 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1947 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 1947 |
URU
6 - 1
ECU
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 1947 |
PAR
4 - 2
URU
35%
21%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 1947 |
URU
3 - 0
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
Partidos
Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 1947 |
BRA
3 - 2
URU
64%
17%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 1947 |
BRA
0 - 0
URU
63%
17%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 1946 |
ARG
2 - 0
BRA
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 1946 |
BRA
5 - 1
CHI
78%
13%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 1946 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAR
76%
14%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |